Wednesday, August 15, 2007

Rossi's Law

The expected value for any measured effect of a social program is zero.


...Kind of makes me want to chuck it all join the circus.

11 comments:

  1. If you look good in a leotard, make sure it's Cirque de Soleil.

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  2. Do you have the required banter to be a carny? Maybe that is an alternate career path should the circus not work out.

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  3. GKL: It's a good thing I'm working out with Paula Abdul. Maybe I could get a job with CDS. Though, I'm afraid of heights and ballerinas. It might be a problem.

    SD: I have the banter but I exceed the maximum allowed number of teeth to be a carny.

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  4. Step right up and don't be shy, because you will not believe your eyes. She's right here behind the glass and you're gonna like her, 'cause she's got class.

    You can look inside another world. You get to talk to a pretty girl. She's everything you dream about... but don't fall in love... She's a beauty --- one in a million girls, she's a beauty. Why would I lie?

    Why would I lie?

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  5. I'm not 100% convinced that his law actually MEANS anything.

    "I mean, not really..."

    ---Kipper

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  6. Deadspot's Law: Rossi is an idiot.

    If it makes you feel better, it has been repeatedly shown that every dollar spent on proactive social programs saves more than a dollar on reactive social programs, which, in and of themselves, save more than a dollar in (just to name example) prison expenses for every dollar spent.

    Someone should ask Rossi if he's ever heard of the WPA? Or perhaps the CCC? These are social programs from the Great Depression (tried it... not so great.) that are still returning on their investments. Just to point out one brain-numbingly obvious example, I've stayed in lodgings built by the CCC that have been producing income for state parks all across the country for something like seven decades.

    Rossi has obviously mistaken rhetoric for research.

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  7. They quoted that law in an editorial in the New York Times this week-- an article about how Karl Rove didn't listen to his own criticisms of "big government liberals." Oh, the irony-- the "less government is better" conservatives vastly expanding federal government size and power, all while extolling the Governmental Bauhaus (less is more) theory.

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  8. Johnny Yen: That article was also printed in the Plain Dealer and that's where I saw the quote. I'd never heard it before and it really made me think. At first I was discouraged, but after some thought, I figured that Rossi might mean that top-down social programs intended to change the culture would never work. I think he's right about that.

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  9. Peter Murphy was a political scientist? That sounds like the kind of thing I should know. Stupid state university education...

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